PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 32%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 589 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DM Dane Myers RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 288 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.