PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .304
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 624 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 551 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.