PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .305
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 513 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 645 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 456 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CM Curtis Mead RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Curtis Mead
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.