PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .306vs RHH xwOBA .304Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .301
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 644 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TS Trevor Story RHB .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Story
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NS Nick Sogard SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Sogard
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-27 game page →