PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.