PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 2%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .303
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 549 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.