PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BB Brett Baty LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 372 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 623 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JS Juan Soto LHB .384
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .441 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 359 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MV Mark Vientos RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.