PITCHER MATCHUP
Shota Imanaga vs New York Mets
How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Shota Imanaga's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%
How the New York Mets's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .321
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1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 352 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 CB Carson Benge LHB .317
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (33% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 534 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (33% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 BB Brett Baty LHB .297
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (33% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 FL Francisco Lindor SH .306
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 638 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (33% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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7 JS Juan Soto LHB .380
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .436 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .339
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Splitter (33% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JY Jared Young LHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
- Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Splitter (33% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.