PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 32%Sweeper 14%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 557 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JY Jared Young LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.