PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Splitter 32%Sweeper 14%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Changeup 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 MS Marcus Semien RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Carson Benge LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 JS Juan Soto LHB .391
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Juan Soto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .451 xwOBA over 438 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MV Mark Vientos RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mark Vientos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Luis Torrens RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-22 game page →