PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .298vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 32%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 2%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-04 game page →