PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 32%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 CY Cole Young LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 500 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TW Taylor Ward RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BD Brendan Donovan LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brendan Donovan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VR Victor Robles RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Robles
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-23 game page →