PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .290vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 32%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-16 game page →