PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 663 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .276
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .350
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .423 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-16 game page →