PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .307Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 304 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.