PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .308Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 47%Splitter 32%Sweeper 14%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Changeup 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 384 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 YP Yohendrick Piñango LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yohendrick Piñango
    • Four-Seam Fastball (47% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-21 game page →