PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .305Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Splitter 33%Sweeper 15%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 307 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MS Myles Straw RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JS Josh Smith LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (33% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (15% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.