PITCHER MATCHUP

Shota Imanaga vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shota Imanaga's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shota Imanaga's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .310Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Splitter 32%Sweeper 14%Sinker 4%Curveball 3%Slider 1%Changeup 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shota Imanaga, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 DV Daulton Varsho LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daulton Varsho
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 GS George Springer RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Splitter (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.