PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 20%Sinker 19%Curveball 14%Cutter 12%Changeup 5%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 348 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 RL Royce Lewis RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 351 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →