PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 22%Sinker 20%Curveball 13%Cutter 13%Changeup 5%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 393 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KC Kody Clemens SH .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .246 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 VC Victor Caratini SH .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.