PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Colorado Rockies

How the Colorado Rockies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 20%Sinker 19%Curveball 14%Cutter 11%Changeup 5%

How the Colorado Rockies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Colorado Rockies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 TR TJ Rumfield LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Rumfield
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 HG Hunter Goodman RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hunter Goodman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 ET Ezequiel Tovar RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Tovar
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willi Castro SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willi Castro
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .252 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JM Jake McCarthy LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake McCarthy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KK Kyle Karros RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Karros
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TJ Troy Johnston LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Troy Johnston
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF Tyler Freeman RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Freeman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 MM Mickey Moniak LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mickey Moniak
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 354 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-24 game page →