PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 20%Sinker 19%Curveball 14%Cutter 12%Changeup 5%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 575 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 395 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Matt McLain RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 TF TJ Friedl LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 NM Noelvi Marte RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Noelvi Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 DM Dane Myers RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.