PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Cincinnati Reds

How the Cincinnati Reds's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .278vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Curveball 13%Cutter 13%Changeup 5%

How the Cincinnati Reds's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cincinnati Reds's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 SS Sal Stewart RHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sal Stewart
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 ED Elly De La Cruz SH .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Elly De La Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB JJ Bleday LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Bleday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 MM Matt McLain RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt McLain
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 ES Eugenio Suárez RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eugenio Suárez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .237 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 TS Tyler Stephenson RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler Stephenson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 DM Dane Myers RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dane Myers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 TF TJ Friedl LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. TJ Friedl
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 464 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KH Ke'Bryan Hayes RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ke'Bryan Hayes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.