PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .289vs RHH xwOBA .293Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 20%Sinker 19%Curveball 14%Cutter 12%Changeup 5%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BL Brandon Lowe SH .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 432 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JM Jake Mangum SH .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MO Marcell Ozuna RHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcell Ozuna
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JT Jared Triolo RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-11 game page →