PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .272vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 22%Sinker 20%Curveball 13%Cutter 12%Changeup 5%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 569 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 375 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.