PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 20%Sinker 19%Curveball 13%Cutter 13%Changeup 5%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 539 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 229 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 JT Jared Triolo RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 HD Henry Davis RHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Davis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EV Esmerlyn Valdez RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Esmerlyn Valdez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.