PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .276vs RHH xwOBA .286Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 20%Sinker 19%Curveball 14%Cutter 11%Changeup 5%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Bohm RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 452 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .381 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .433 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 435 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.