PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 21%Sinker 20%Curveball 13%Cutter 13%Changeup 6%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 703 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .430 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.