PITCHER MATCHUP
Shane Drohan vs Philadelphia Phillies
How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Shane Drohan's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .280vs RHH xwOBA .269Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 19%Sinker 19%Cutter 14%Curveball 12%Changeup 6%
How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .326
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1 TT Trea Turner RHB .310
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .365
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 AB Alec Bohm RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .357
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .326
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
- Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (19% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (12% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.