PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .279vs RHH xwOBA .302Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 21%Sinker 19%Curveball 13%Cutter 13%Changeup 5%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .220 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 OC Owen Caissie LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 GC Griffin Conine LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (21% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.