PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .288vs RHH xwOBA .285Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 31%Slider 20%Sinker 18%Curveball 14%Cutter 11%Changeup 5%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .220 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 XE Xavier Edwards SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Xavier Edwards
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LH Liam Hicks LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 340 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JM Joe Mack LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LJ Leo Jiménez RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leo Jiménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (31% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (18% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (11% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-18 game page →