PITCHER MATCHUP
Shane Drohan vs Los Angeles Dodgers
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Shane Drohan's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .277vs RHH xwOBA .315Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 22%Sinker 20%Curveball 13%Cutter 13%Changeup 5%
How the Los Angeles Dodgers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Dodgers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .329
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1 FF Freddie Freeman LHB .340
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Freddie Freeman
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 633 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 KT Kyle Tucker LHB .341
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Tucker
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 AP Andy Pages RHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andy Pages
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 491 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 MM Max Muncy LHB .345
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MB Mookie Betts RHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mookie Betts
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 505 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TH Teoscar Hernández RHB .333
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Teoscar Hernández
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 TE Tommy Edman SH .313
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tommy Edman
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 WS Will Smith RHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Will Smith
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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9 MR Miguel Rojas RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Rojas
- Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (22% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (20% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (13% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.