PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .294Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 20%Sinker 19%Curveball 13%Cutter 13%Changeup 5%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 AB Alec Burleson LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JW Jordan Walker RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JW JJ Wetherholt LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. JJ Wetherholt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MW Masyn Winn RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NC Nathan Church LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JF José Fermín RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 BJ Blaze Jordan RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Blaze Jordan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.