PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .272vs RHH xwOBA .313Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 28%Slider 22%Sinker 20%Curveball 13%Cutter 12%Changeup 5%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 681 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 518 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over 285 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 498 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 362 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 537 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (22% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (20% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (12% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.