PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Drohan vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Drohan's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Drohan's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .297Seasons 2026
Four-Seam Fastball 30%Slider 20%Sinker 19%Curveball 13%Cutter 13%Changeup 5%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Drohan, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .322
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 244 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .231 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .253 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 390 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AR Austin Riley RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .439 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (20% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (19% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (13% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-23 game page →