PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 15%Changeup 10%Sinker 4%Slider 3%Unknown 1%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 497 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 TG Trent Grisham LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 423 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JC José Caballero RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 227 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RM Ryan McMahon LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan McMahon
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-18 game page →