PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs New York Yankees

How the New York Yankees's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 30%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 2%

How the New York Yankees's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Yankees's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .328
  1. 1 BR Ben Rice LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ben Rice
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 LG Luis García Jr. LHB .353
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis García Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 355 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CB Cody Bellinger LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cody Bellinger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 584 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jazz Chisholm Jr. LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jazz Chisholm Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TG Trent Grisham LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trent Grisham
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JC José Caballero RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Caballero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 HR Heliot Ramos RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heliot Ramos
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .380 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PG Paul Goldschmidt RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Paul Goldschmidt
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 455 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Austin Wells LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Wells
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 369 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.