PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 15%Changeup 10%Sinker 4%Slider 3%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 414 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.