PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 30%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 2%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 299 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 344 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 440 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.