PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 30%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 2%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .422 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BD Brenton Doyle RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brenton Doyle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.