PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .310vs RHH xwOBA .320Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 15%Changeup 10%Slider 3%Sinker 3%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 239 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 LA Luisangel Acuña RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luisangel Acuña
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 DR Drew Romo SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drew Romo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (15% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-29 game page →