PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 30%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .313
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 394 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 545 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 392 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 VC Victor Caratini SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .402 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .257 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RK Ryan Kreidler RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Kreidler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.