PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 3%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 546 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .412 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 411 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 429 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 178 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 509 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.