PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 30%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 2%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 RG Riley Greene LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 278 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .289
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JB Javier Báez SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.