PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 30%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 2%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 482 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 592 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.