PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .317Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 4%Slider 3%Unknown 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .403 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 487 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 347 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 341 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.