PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Texas Rangers

How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 3%

How the Texas Rangers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 657 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JB Jake Burger RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  4. 4 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 322 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JJ Josh Jung RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Jung
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 EC Evan Carter LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JP Joc Pederson LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CS Corey Seager LHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.