PITCHER MATCHUP
Shane Baz vs Texas Rangers
How the Texas Rangers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Shane Baz's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .301vs RHH xwOBA .323Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 4%Slider 3%Unknown 1%
How the Texas Rangers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Texas Rangers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .316
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1 BN Brandon Nimmo LHB .331
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Nimmo
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 602 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 260 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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2 JB Jake Burger RHB .309
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Burger
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ED Ezequiel Duran RHB .296
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ezequiel Duran
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 JP Joc Pederson LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joc Pederson
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .397 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 EC Evan Carter LHB .303
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Evan Carter
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 WL Wyatt Langford RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wyatt Langford
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 CS Corey Seager LHB .355
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Corey Seager
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
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8 AO Alejandro Osuna LHB .312
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Osuna
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 NL Nicky Lopez LHB .300
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nicky Lopez
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (4% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-07 game page →