PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .304vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 3%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 703 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .443 xwOBA over 314 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 321 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .375 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.