PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 30%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 2%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 542 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 252 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 SK Steven Kwan LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 349 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 453 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 236 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 507 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 361 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 253 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Angel Martínez SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 333 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .347
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 614 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.