PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Cleveland Guardians

How the Cleveland Guardians's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 3%

How the Cleveland Guardians's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Cleveland Guardians's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 JA Jo Adell RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jo Adell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 502 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BR Brayan Rocchio SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brayan Rocchio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 SK Steven Kwan LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Steven Kwan
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 648 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Chase DeLauter LHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase DeLauter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 JR José Ramírez SH .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 475 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 339 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 206 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TB Travis Bazzana LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Travis Bazzana
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NL Nathaniel Lowe LHB .346
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathaniel Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 579 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .385 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Angel Martínez SH .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Angel Martínez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 PB Patrick Bailey SH .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Patrick Bailey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-09 game page →