PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .314Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 3%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 653 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 474 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 335 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .417 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 LT Lane Thomas RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 519 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.