PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .309vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 30%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .356
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 690 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 190 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 525 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 311 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 425 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 268 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 222 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Lane Thomas RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 301 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (30% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (5% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (2% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.