PITCHER MATCHUP

Shane Baz vs Athletics

How the Athletics's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Shane Baz's arsenal

Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .297vs RHH xwOBA .318Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 4%Slider 3%Unknown 1%

How the Athletics's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Athletics's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JM Jeff McNeil LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeff McNeil
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LB Lawrence Butler LHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lawrence Butler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 220 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .416 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 HB Henry Bolte RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Henry Bolte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 ZG Zack Gelof RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zack Gelof
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 JH Jonah Heim SH .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonah Heim
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CC Carlos Cortes LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Cortes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Max Muncy RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Max Muncy
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DW Donovan Walton LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Donovan Walton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AW Alika Williams RHB .284
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alika Williams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .232 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Cutter (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (3% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-29 game page →