PITCHER MATCHUP
Shane Baz vs Los Angeles Angels
How the Los Angeles Angels's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Shane Baz's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Shane Baz's arsenal
Throws RHPvs LHH xwOBA .307vs RHH xwOBA .312Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 39%Knuckle Curve 29%Cutter 14%Changeup 10%Sinker 5%Slider 3%
How the Los Angeles Angels's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Los Angeles Angels's top-9-by-AB hitters against Shane Baz, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .312
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1 ZN Zach Neto RHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach Neto
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 468 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 296 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 MT Mike Trout RHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Trout
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 515 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 VG Vaughn Grissom RHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vaughn Grissom
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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4 OP Oswald Peraza RHB .288
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oswald Peraza
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MB Moisés Ballesteros LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Moisés Ballesteros
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 JL Josh Lowe LHB .302
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Lowe
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 331 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 WM Wade Meckler LHB .318
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wade Meckler
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 DG Denzer Guzman RHB .281
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Denzer Guzman
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .255 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JS Jose Siri RHB .320
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jose Siri
- Four-Seam Fastball (39% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Knuckle Curve (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (10% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Slider (3% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.