PITCHER MATCHUP
Sean Newcomb vs Detroit Tigers
How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Newcomb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Sean Newcomb's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%SV 27%Sinker 21%Cutter 7%Curveball 5%Changeup 5%Unknown 1%
How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Newcomb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .322
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1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .334
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .328
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .325
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 449 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 312 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 RG Riley Greene LHB .337
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 552 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .379 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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5 CK Colt Keith LHB .324
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 417 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 237 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .299
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .343
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 514 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .305
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 14 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 JB Javier Báez SH .307
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Báez
- Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- SV (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (21% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Curveball (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (5% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.