PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Newcomb vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Newcomb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Newcomb's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%SV 27%Sinker 22%Cutter 8%Changeup 5%Curveball 4%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Newcomb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 RG Riley Greene LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 530 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 261 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 407 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 402 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 GT Gleyber Torres RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gleyber Torres
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 473 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 283 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JO James Outman LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. James Outman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .242 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.