PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Newcomb vs Detroit Tigers

How the Detroit Tigers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Newcomb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Newcomb's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .300Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 30%SV 26%Sinker 23%Cutter 9%Changeup 6%Curveball 5%Unknown 1%

How the Detroit Tigers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Detroit Tigers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Newcomb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 RG Riley Greene LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Riley Greene
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (26% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 248 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KM Kevin McGonigle LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kevin McGonigle
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (26% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 13 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 DD Dillon Dingler RHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dillon Dingler
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (26% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 ST Spencer Torkelson RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Torkelson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 364 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (26% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CK Colt Keith LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colt Keith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 366 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (26% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MV Matt Vierling RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Vierling
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (26% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 KC Kerry Carpenter LHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kerry Carpenter
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (26% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 ZM Zach McKinstry LHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Zach McKinstry
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (26% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 HL Hao-Yu Lee RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Hao-Yu Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (30% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (26% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (23% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (9% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 1 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-20 game page →