PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Newcomb vs New York Mets

How the New York Mets's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Newcomb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Newcomb's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .299Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%SV 28%Sinker 22%Cutter 8%Changeup 5%Curveball 4%Unknown 1%

How the New York Mets's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the New York Mets's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Newcomb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .324
  1. 1 BB Bo Bichette RHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bo Bichette
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CB Carson Benge LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Benge
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 MS Marcus Semien RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Marcus Semien
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 503 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BB Brett Baty LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brett Baty
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 2 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AE A.J. Ewing LHB .335
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. A.J. Ewing
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 FA Francisco Alvarez RHB .331
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Alvarez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 FL Francisco Lindor SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Francisco Lindor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 582 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JY Jared Young LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 LT Luis Torrens RHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Torrens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-23 game page →