PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Newcomb vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Newcomb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Newcomb's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .316Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 35%SV 27%Sinker 21%Cutter 7%Curveball 5%Changeup 5%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Newcomb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .329
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 10 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 AB Alex Bregman RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 566 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 612 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 242 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 212 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 628 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .369 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 330 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 496 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .384 xwOBA over 370 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 DS Dansby Swanson RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dansby Swanson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 493 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .250 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 CK Carson Kelly RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MC Michael Conforto LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (35% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (21% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.