PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Newcomb vs Chicago Cubs

How the Chicago Cubs's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Newcomb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Newcomb's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .314vs RHH xwOBA .298Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 33%SV 28%Sinker 22%Cutter 8%Changeup 5%Curveball 4%Unknown 1%

How the Chicago Cubs's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago Cubs's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Newcomb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 NH Nico Hoerner RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nico Hoerner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 543 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 409 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alex Bregman RHB .326
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alex Bregman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 526 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 4 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 PC Pete Crow-Armstrong LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Crow-Armstrong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 476 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MB Michael Busch LHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Busch
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 565 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IH Ian Happ SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ian Happ
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 594 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 135 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 SS Seiya Suzuki RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Seiya Suzuki
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 457 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 329 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CK Carson Kelly RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carson Kelly
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 316 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MC Michael Conforto LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Conforto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 424 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 MA Miguel Amaya RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Amaya
    • Four-Seam Fastball (33% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (28% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (4% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-19 game page →