PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Newcomb vs St. Louis Cardinals

How the St. Louis Cardinals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Newcomb's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Newcomb's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .306Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 34%SV 27%Sinker 22%Cutter 7%Changeup 5%Curveball 5%Unknown 1%

How the St. Louis Cardinals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the St. Louis Cardinals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Newcomb, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 JW Jordan Walker RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jordan Walker
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 302 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 11 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Burleson LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Burleson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .374 xwOBA over 270 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 IH Iván Herrera RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Iván Herrera
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 6 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MW Masyn Winn RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masyn Winn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 531 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 9 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 NC Nathan Church LHB .282
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Church
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JF José Fermín RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Fermín
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over limited BIP — a roughly even matchup (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 NG Nolan Gorman LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nolan Gorman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 353 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 PP Pedro Pagés RHB .286
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pedro Pagés
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over limited BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher (zone profile imputed from overall vs-handedness wOBA — limited per-pitch-type data).
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 VS Victor Scott II LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Scott II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (34% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • SV (27% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 3 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (22% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (5% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (5% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-12 game page →