PITCHER MATCHUP
Sean Manaea vs Chicago White Sox
How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.
Sean Manaea's arsenal
Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 7%Changeup 6%Slider 1%
How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project
Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.
Lineup avg xwOBA .321
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1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .330
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .295
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .426 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .308
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 350 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
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4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .323
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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5 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .327
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .316
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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7 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .311
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 446 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .329
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
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9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .346
Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
- Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 263 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Sinker (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
- Cutter (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
- Changeup (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.