PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Chicago White Sox

How the Chicago White Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Changeup 6%Cutter 6%Slider 1%

How the Chicago White Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Chicago White Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 MV Miguel Vargas RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Miguel Vargas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 447 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CM Colson Montgomery LHB .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colson Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 258 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .400 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CM Chase Meidroth RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chase Meidroth
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 SA Sam Antonacci LHB .321
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Sam Antonacci
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 AB Andrew Benintendi LHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Benintendi
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 421 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 78 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TP Tristan Peters LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tristan Peters
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 12 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MM Munetaka Murakami LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Munetaka Murakami
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 17 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 BM Braden Montgomery SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Braden Montgomery
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 5 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 RG Randal Grichuk RHB .339
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randal Grichuk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-21 game page →