PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Changeup 6%Cutter 6%Slider 1%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .427 xwOBA over 256 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .359
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 483 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 554 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 NL Nick Loftin RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.