PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .270vs RHH xwOBA .325Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Sweeper 29%Sinker 15%Changeup 7%Cutter 5%Slider 2%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 454 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 SP Salvador Perez RHB .336
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .410 xwOBA over 247 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .283
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 LT Lane Thomas RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Lane Thomas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 NL Nick Loftin RHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Loftin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 SM Starling Marte RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Starling Marte
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 224 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (15% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-09 game page →