PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Tampa Bay Rays

How the Tampa Bay Rays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .293vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 7%Changeup 6%Slider 1%

How the Tampa Bay Rays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Tampa Bay Rays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .307
  1. 1 JC Junior Caminero RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Junior Caminero
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .401 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 YD Yandy Díaz RHB .344
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Yandy Díaz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 490 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 441 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JA Jonathan Aranda LHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonathan Aranda
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 CS Chandler Simpson LHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Chandler Simpson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 371 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .261 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 LH Liam Hicks LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Liam Hicks
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 323 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CM Cedric Mullins LHB .275
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cedric Mullins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 520 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .254 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TW Taylor Walls SH .269
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Walls
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .245 xwOBA over 387 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .247 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 JD Jonny DeLuca RHB .281
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jonny DeLuca
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .262 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RP Richie Palacios LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Richie Palacios
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.