PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Pittsburgh Pirates

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .334Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 6%Changeup 6%Slider 1%

How the Pittsburgh Pirates's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Pittsburgh Pirates's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 BR Bryan Reynolds SH .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryan Reynolds
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 562 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 265 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 291 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BL Brandon Lowe SH .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Lowe
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NG Nick Gonzales RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nick Gonzales
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 336 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 306 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JM Jake Mangum SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Mangum
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 RO Ryan O'Hearn LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan O'Hearn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 SH Spencer Horwitz LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Spencer Horwitz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 182 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 OC Oneil Cruz LHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Oneil Cruz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .371 xwOBA over 379 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .407 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 194 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT Jared Triolo RHB .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jared Triolo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 374 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KG Konnor Griffin RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Konnor Griffin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 20 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.