PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Changeup 6%Cutter 6%Slider 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 448 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 320 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 AB Alec Bohm RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 337 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .372
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .388 xwOBA over 410 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 240 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 181 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .421 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 550 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .419 xwOBA over 284 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 512 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 378 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 254 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 54 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.