PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .286vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sweeper 29%Sinker 14%Changeup 7%Cutter 5%Slider 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .325
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 420 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 290 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .362
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .376 xwOBA over 521 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .415 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 174 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .404 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 BH Bryce Harper LHB .374
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .386 xwOBA over 377 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 225 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .435 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 413 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 470 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 215 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JC Justin Crawford LHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 15 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 338 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 ES Edmundo Sosa RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Edmundo Sosa
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-06-18 game page →