PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 6%Changeup 6%Slider 1%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 345 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .300
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 705 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 381 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 604 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .413 xwOBA over 315 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .370
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .389 xwOBA over 451 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 499 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 472 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 564 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.