PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 6%Changeup 6%Slider 1%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .317
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 249 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .369
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .396 xwOBA over 532 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 443 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 180 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .277
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 398 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 205 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 SB Samuel Basallo LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Samuel Basallo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 32 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 CC Colton Cowser LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .390 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .260 xwOBA over 199 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  7. 7 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .311
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 357 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-15 game page →