PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Washington Nationals

How the Washington Nationals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Changeup 6%Cutter 6%Slider 1%

How the Washington Nationals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Washington Nationals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .312
  1. 1 DL Daylen Lile LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Daylen Lile
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 CA CJ Abrams LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. CJ Abrams
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 463 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .249 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 267 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 NN Nasim Nuñez SH .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nasim Nuñez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JY Jacob Young RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jacob Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 326 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 108 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 DC Dylan Crews RHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Crews
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 KR Keibert Ruiz SH .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Keibert Ruiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 146 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JV Jorbit Vivas LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorbit Vivas
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JT José Tena LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. José Tena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 34 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BH Brady House RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brady House
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (17% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 19 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-15 game page →