PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Miami Marlins

How the Miami Marlins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 6%Changeup 6%Slider 1%

How the Miami Marlins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Miami Marlins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .318
  1. 1 OL Otto Lopez RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Otto Lopez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .383 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 325 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 115 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .244 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JM Jakob Marsee LHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jakob Marsee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 262 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Stowers LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Stowers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 151 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JS Javier Sanoja RHB .304
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Javier Sanoja
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 HH Heriberto Hernández RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Heriberto Hernández
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .356 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 OC Owen Caissie LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Owen Caissie
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JM Joe Mack LHB .296
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joe Mack
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 22 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 GC Griffin Conine LHB .343
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Griffin Conine
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .363 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .362 xwOBA over 27 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AR Agustín Ramírez RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Agustín Ramírez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 189 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-08 game page →