PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Milwaukee Brewers

How the Milwaukee Brewers's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .330Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 42%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 6%Changeup 6%Slider 1%

How the Milwaukee Brewers's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Milwaukee Brewers's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 BT Brice Turang LHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brice Turang
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 544 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .411 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WC William Contreras RHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. William Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 382 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 156 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 JB Jake Bauers LHB .357
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jake Bauers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .391 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jackson Chourio SH .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Chourio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 300 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 GM Garrett Mitchell LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Garrett Mitchell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 111 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 64 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  6. 6 CY Christian Yelich LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Christian Yelich
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 385 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 218 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JO Joey Ortiz RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Joey Ortiz
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 405 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 289 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  8. 8 DH David Hamilton LHB .288
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. David Hamilton
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 69 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 AV Andrew Vaughn RHB .334
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrew Vaughn
    • Four-Seam Fastball (42% usage) projects to .393 xwOBA over 380 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .259 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 230 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-27 game page →