PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .281vs RHH xwOBA .327Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 40%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Changeup 6%Cutter 6%Slider 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 OA Ozzie Albies SH .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 445 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 221 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 112 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 MO Matt Olson LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 609 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 298 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 365 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MH Michael Harris II LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 383 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 264 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 232 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 96 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .349
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 47 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 494 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 63 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 184 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .309
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .287 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .354
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (40% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 58 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .434 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 72 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.