PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .286vs RHH xwOBA .321Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 43%Sweeper 29%Sinker 14%Changeup 7%Cutter 5%Slider 2%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .320
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .345
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 565 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .373 xwOBA over 272 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 165 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 223 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 AR Austin Riley RHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 324 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 87 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 MH Michael Harris II LHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 360 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 176 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 25 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 DS Dominic Smith LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 213 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  9. 9 JM Jorge Mateo RHB .322
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jorge Mateo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (43% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (7% usage) projects to .271 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (5% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.