PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Atlanta Braves

How the Atlanta Braves's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .303vs RHH xwOBA .335Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 6%Changeup 6%Slider 1%

How the Atlanta Braves's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Atlanta Braves's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 MO Matt Olson LHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Matt Olson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 663 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 318 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 185 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 OA Ozzie Albies SH .290
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ozzie Albies
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .280 xwOBA over 495 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 95 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 275 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 MH Michael Harris II LHB .329
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Harris II
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 412 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 MD Mauricio Dubón RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mauricio Dubón
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .279 xwOBA over 397 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 238 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 113 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 AR Austin Riley RHB .320
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Riley
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 479 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DB Drake Baldwin LHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Drake Baldwin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .361 xwOBA over 250 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 RA Ronald Acuña Jr. RHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ronald Acuña Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 342 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .424 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MY Mike Yastrzemski LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Mike Yastrzemski
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 522 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 DS Dominic Smith LHB .303
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Smith
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 246 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 46 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 142 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 62 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.