PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .300vs RHH xwOBA .333Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Cutter 6%Changeup 6%Slider 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .316
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .291
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 415 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 305 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 186 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .333
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .361
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .392 xwOBA over 450 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 460 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 179 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 211 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 459 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 228 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .340
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .359 xwOBA over 439 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .358 xwOBA over 373 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 160 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 317 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .264 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 MS Myles Straw RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 136 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AK Alejandro Kirk RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alejandro Kirk
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 279 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 109 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 8 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 21 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.