PITCHER MATCHUP

Sean Manaea vs Toronto Blue Jays

How the Toronto Blue Jays's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Sean Manaea's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Sean Manaea's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .295vs RHH xwOBA .324Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 41%Sweeper 29%Sinker 16%Changeup 6%Cutter 6%Slider 1%

How the Toronto Blue Jays's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Toronto Blue Jays's top-9-by-AB hitters against Sean Manaea, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .315
  1. 1 EC Ernie Clement SH .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ernie Clement
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .292 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 140 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 281 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 168 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 133 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 KO Kazuma Okamoto RHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kazuma Okamoto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 VG Vladimir Guerrero Jr. RHB .364
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .399 xwOBA over 418 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 428 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .337 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .360 xwOBA over 170 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AG Andrés Giménez LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andrés Giménez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 419 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 210 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 161 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 GS George Springer RHB .342
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. George Springer
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 406 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .364 xwOBA over 343 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 141 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 NL Nathan Lukes LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Nathan Lukes
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 274 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 86 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 56 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 JS Jesús Sánchez LHB .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jesús Sánchez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 MS Myles Straw RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Myles Straw
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 26 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 BV Brandon Valenzuela SH .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Valenzuela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (41% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sweeper (29% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 7 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (16% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (6% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 28 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Cutter (6% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 16 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.