PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Minnesota Twins

How the Minnesota Twins's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .308vs RHH xwOBA .276Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 32%Curveball 13%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%

How the Minnesota Twins's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Minnesota Twins's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .309
  1. 1 BL Brooks Lee SH .280
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brooks Lee
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 389 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 164 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 92 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  2. 2 JB Josh Bell SH .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Bell
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 540 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 124 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 287 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 KC Kody Clemens SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kody Clemens
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 386 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 LK Luke Keaschall RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luke Keaschall
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 RL Royce Lewis RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Royce Lewis
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 195 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 61 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 TL Trevor Larnach LHB .316
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trevor Larnach
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 478 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 163 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 80 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 175 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VC Victor Caratini SH .318
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Victor Caratini
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 367 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Austin Martin RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Austin Martin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .335 xwOBA over 280 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .267 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 RJ Ryan Jeffers RHB .319
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ryan Jeffers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 396 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-19 game page →