PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Kansas City Royals

How the Kansas City Royals's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 32%Curveball 13%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%

How the Kansas City Royals's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Kansas City Royals's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .323
  1. 1 SP Salvador Perez RHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Salvador Perez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 481 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 297 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 122 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 BW Bobby Witt Jr. RHB .360
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bobby Witt Jr.
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .378 xwOBA over 516 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 334 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 105 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 202 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 CJ Carter Jensen LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carter Jensen
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 JC Jac Caglianone LHB .363
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jac Caglianone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .368 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .377 xwOBA over 100 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 55 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .350 xwOBA over 101 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 IC Isaac Collins SH .307
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Isaac Collins
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 404 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MM Michael Massey LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Michael Massey
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .278 xwOBA over 376 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 43 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 VP Vinnie Pasquantino LHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Vinnie Pasquantino
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 591 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 216 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 MG Maikel Garcia RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Maikel Garcia
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 471 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 257 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 KI Kyle Isbel LHB .279
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Isbel
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .275 xwOBA over 368 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 82 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .263 xwOBA over 143 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.