PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .313vs RHH xwOBA .275Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 44%Slider 31%Curveball 14%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%Unknown 1%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .310
  1. 1 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .274 xwOBA over 416 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .324 xwOBA over 150 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 169 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 155 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JD Jarren Duran LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 571 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .270 xwOBA over 255 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 126 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 214 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 391 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 152 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .289 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 WC Willson Contreras RHB .348
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 399 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 65 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 235 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .308
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 234 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 38 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 48 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 200 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 MY Masataka Yoshida LHB .325
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Masataka Yoshida
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .343 xwOBA over 282 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CN Carlos Narváez RHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Carlos Narváez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 103 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .294
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 84 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 CW Connor Wong RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (44% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 226 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-07-03 game page →