PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Boston Red Sox

How the Boston Red Sox's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .318vs RHH xwOBA .277Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 31%Curveball 14%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%

How the Boston Red Sox's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Boston Red Sox's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .308
  1. 1 CR Ceddanne Rafaela RHB .295
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Ceddanne Rafaela
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 437 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 83 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 172 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 WA Wilyer Abreu LHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Wilyer Abreu
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 462 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 162 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .346 xwOBA over 79 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .349 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  3. 3 JD Jarren Duran LHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jarren Duran
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 611 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .268 xwOBA over 269 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 132 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 209 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CD Caleb Durbin RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Caleb Durbin
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 277 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .313 xwOBA over 127 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .269 xwOBA over 57 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  5. 5 WC Willson Contreras RHB .352
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Willson Contreras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .353 xwOBA over 430 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .367 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .318 xwOBA over 71 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .345 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 AR Adley Rutschman SH .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Adley Rutschman
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 434 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 144 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 66 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 AM Andruw Monasterio RHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Andruw Monasterio
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 158 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 107 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 45 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 CW Connor Wong RHB .292
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Connor Wong
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 241 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .266 xwOBA over 74 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  9. 9 EW Eli White RHB .293
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Eli White
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 76 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 24 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 36 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.