PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .321vs RHH xwOBA .277Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 31%Curveball 14%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .321
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 295 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 118 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 147 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .306
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 682 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .331 xwOBA over 102 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .273 xwOBA over 154 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .338
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .372 xwOBA over 585 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 313 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 138 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .357 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 AB Alec Bohm RHB .317
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 477 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 259 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 77 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 106 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 BH Bryce Harper LHB .355
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .394 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 273 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 171 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .366 xwOBA over 191 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  6. 6 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 461 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 197 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 94 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .329 xwOBA over 120 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BS Bryson Stott LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 547 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .341 xwOBA over 183 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 188 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .301
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 117 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 42 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 30 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 400 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .336 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .301 xwOBA over 68 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 121 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-28 game page →