PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Philadelphia Phillies

How the Philadelphia Phillies's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .320vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 32%Curveball 13%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%

How the Philadelphia Phillies's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Philadelphia Phillies's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .319
  1. 1 TT Trea Turner RHB .310
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Trea Turner
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 504 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 309 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .288 xwOBA over 128 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .286 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  2. 2 LA Luis Arraez LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Luis Arraez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 719 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 219 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 104 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .272 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
  3. 3 KS Kyle Schwarber LHB .337
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Kyle Schwarber
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 621 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 328 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 145 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .348 xwOBA over 201 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  4. 4 BH Bryce Harper LHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryce Harper
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .387 xwOBA over 465 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 293 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .293 xwOBA over 177 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .365 xwOBA over 208 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  5. 5 AB Alec Bohm RHB .323
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Alec Bohm
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .326 xwOBA over 517 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 276 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 85 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 BS Bryson Stott LHB .328
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Bryson Stott
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .330 xwOBA over 583 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 196 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 198 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 BM Brandon Marsh LHB .305
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Brandon Marsh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .307 xwOBA over 484 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .295 xwOBA over 203 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .320 xwOBA over 130 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC Justin Crawford LHB .299
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Justin Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 50 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .294 xwOBA over 31 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 49 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JR J.T. Realmuto RHB .312
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.T. Realmuto
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 433 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 217 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 73 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .277 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

No meeting currently scheduled — this is a durable season matchup read.