PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Baltimore Orioles

How the Baltimore Orioles's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .315vs RHH xwOBA .281Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 31%Curveball 14%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%

How the Baltimore Orioles's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Baltimore Orioles's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .314
  1. 1 GH Gunnar Henderson LHB .313
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Gunnar Henderson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 523 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .290 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .284 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 233 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .342 xwOBA over 319 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 PA Pete Alonso RHB .351
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Pete Alonso
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .382 xwOBA over 489 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 294 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 116 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 159 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .311 xwOBA over 422 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 LT Leody Taveras SH .285
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Leody Taveras
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .256 xwOBA over 363 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .338 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .258 xwOBA over 153 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 131 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 CM Coby Mayo RHB .302
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Coby Mayo
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 173 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 110 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 37 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .300 xwOBA over 60 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .317 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 CC Colton Cowser LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Colton Cowser
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .344 xwOBA over 358 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 148 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 75 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 187 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 157 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 JJ Jeremiah Jackson RHB .297
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jeremiah Jackson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 90 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .310 xwOBA over 81 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 29 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 39 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 67 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 TO Tyler O'Neill RHB .332
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Tyler O'Neill
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 266 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .316 xwOBA over 40 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .281 xwOBA over 97 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 166 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  8. 8 DB Dylan Beavers LHB .314
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dylan Beavers
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .332 xwOBA over 114 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 33 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .291 xwOBA over 18 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .315 xwOBA over 41 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 44 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 JH Jackson Holliday LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Jackson Holliday
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .334 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (31% usage) projects to .297 xwOBA over 134 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (14% usage) projects to .306 xwOBA over 70 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .299 xwOBA over 137 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Sinker (2% usage) projects to .276 xwOBA over 167 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-08-05 game page →