PITCHER MATCHUP

Reid Detmers vs Seattle Mariners

How the Seattle Mariners's current regulars (top 9 by at-bats) project against Reid Detmers's season-to-date arsenal — not the posted lineup for any single game.

Reid Detmers's arsenal

Throws LHPvs LHH xwOBA .312vs RHH xwOBA .272Seasons 2026–2025–2024
Four-Seam Fastball 45%Slider 32%Curveball 13%Changeup 8%Sinker 2%

How the Seattle Mariners's regulars project

Projected expected wOBA for each of the Seattle Mariners's top-9-by-AB hitters against Reid Detmers, by batting order. A season-to-date read — lower favors the pitcher.

Lineup avg xwOBA .326
  1. 1 JR Julio Rodríguez RHB .341
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Julio Rodríguez
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .339 xwOBA over 485 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .355 xwOBA over 308 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .308 xwOBA over 93 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .354 xwOBA over 193 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
  2. 2 JN Josh Naylor LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Josh Naylor
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .352 xwOBA over 524 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .265 xwOBA over 243 BIP — a clear edge for the pitcher.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .319 xwOBA over 88 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 245 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  3. 3 CY Cole Young LHB .315
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cole Young
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .322 xwOBA over 271 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .305 xwOBA over 98 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .321 xwOBA over 35 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 99 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  4. 4 RA Randy Arozarena RHB .324
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Randy Arozarena
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .351 xwOBA over 576 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .296 xwOBA over 286 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 91 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .283 xwOBA over 204 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  5. 5 TW Taylor Ward RHB .327
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Taylor Ward
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .370 xwOBA over 555 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 303 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .303 xwOBA over 89 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .298 xwOBA over 149 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  6. 6 DC Dominic Canzone LHB .358
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Dominic Canzone
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .395 xwOBA over 251 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .328 xwOBA over 129 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .333 xwOBA over 59 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .312 xwOBA over 139 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  7. 7 CR Cal Raleigh SH .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Cal Raleigh
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .340 xwOBA over 630 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 192 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .304 xwOBA over 123 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .325 xwOBA over 310 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  8. 8 JC J.P. Crawford LHB .330
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. J.P. Crawford
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .347 xwOBA over 529 BIP — a meaningful edge for the batter.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .314 xwOBA over 207 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .309 xwOBA over 53 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .327 xwOBA over 125 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
  9. 9 WW Weston Wilson RHB .298
    Pitch-by-pitch projection vs. Weston Wilson
    • Four-Seam Fastball (45% usage) projects to .302 xwOBA over 119 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Slider (32% usage) projects to .285 xwOBA over 51 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Curveball (13% usage) projects to .323 xwOBA over 23 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
    • Changeup (8% usage) projects to .282 xwOBA over 52 BIP — a roughly even matchup.
Full pitch-by-pitch breakdown, with pitch-zone heatmaps →

Next scheduled meeting: 2026-09-14 game page →